Kentucky
W-L: (33-25) PR = 95.9159Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 13- 2 214 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 11- 3 214 A UNC Greensboro SO ( 7-14, 91.9) 10- 6 217 A Butler BE (23-30, 91.9) 6-10 220 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 9-20 221 A Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 5- 3 221 A Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 0- 1 225 H Western Kentucky CUSA (28-27, 94.4) 13- 9 227 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 3- 1 228 H St. John's BE (35-26, 94.2) 3- 0 301 A Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 3- 2 303 H Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 10- 8 304 A SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 8-16 306 A West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 10- 4 307 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 12- 7 308 H The Citadel SO (12-14, 94.9) 13- 5 310 H Ball State MA ( 4-11, 91.4) 10- 3 313 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 7- 4 314 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 8- 7 315 H Alabama SEC (42-20, 97.1) 6- 4 317 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 8-15 319 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 0- 5 320 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 1 321 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 9- 8 324 H Murray State MV ( 9-13, 91.8) 14- 4 327 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 7- 4 328 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 0- 7 329 A LSU SEC (31-26, 97.0) 10-17 331 H Miami MA (22-13, 96.4) 14-11 403 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 4- 5 404 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 9- 2 405 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 2- 5 407 A Davidson A10 ( 1- 7, 90.0) 4- 8 410 H Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 5- 0 411 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 5- 4 412 A Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 0-11 417 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 2 418 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 7- 8 419 H Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 6-13 421 A Louisville ACC (29-27, 96.2) 10-14 424 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 9-10 425 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 4- 9 426 A South Carolina SEC (21-34, 94.6) 9- 5 501 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 9- 2 502 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 12- 2 503 H Tennessee SEC (33-26, 96.7) 9-10 508 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 6- 7 509 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 4- 2 510 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 6- 9 514 A Houston Christian SL ( 3-12, 92.6) 4- 2 515 A SE Louisiana SL ( 7- 8, 94.9) 4- 9 516 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 12-16 519 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 8 529 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 6- 5 530 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 11- 9 530 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 11- 9 531 H West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 9-11 601 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 5- 6
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A UNC Greensboro 13- 2 11 3 +++ 7.70
214 A UNC Greensboro 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.70
214 A UNC Greensboro 10- 6 4 3 0.70
217 A Butler 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.37
220 H Duke 9-20 -11 2 --- -13.10
221 A Evansville 5- 3 2 4 -1.75
225 H Western Kentucky 13- 9 4 2 1.76
227 H St. John's 3- 1 2 2 -0.44
228 H St. John's 3- 0 3 2 0.56
301 A Presbyterian 3- 2 1 5 -- -4.34
303 H Oklahoma State 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.65
304 A SE Louisiana 8-16 -8 0 --- -8.29
306 A West Georgia 10- 4 6 4 1.84
307 H The Citadel 12- 7 5 2 + 3.35
308 H The Citadel 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.35
310 H Ball State 10- 3 7 5 1.78
313 H Alabama 7- 4 3 0 + 3.49
314 H Alabama 8- 7 1 0 1.49
315 H Alabama 6- 4 2 0 + 2.49
317 H Marshall 8-15 -7 3 --- -10.13
319 A Ole Miss 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.57
320 A Ole Miss 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.43
321 H Notre Dame 9- 8 1 1 0.30
324 H Murray State 14- 4 10 5 ++ 5.22
327 A LSU 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.77
328 A LSU 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.23
329 A LSU 10-17 -7 -2 -- -5.23
331 H Miami 14-11 3 0 + 2.85
403 H Missouri 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.09
404 H Missouri 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.91
405 H Missouri 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.09
407 A Davidson 4- 8 -4 5 --- -9.20
410 H Missouri 5- 0 5 2 + 2.91
411 A Auburn 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.63
412 A Auburn 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.37
417 H Vanderbilt 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.53
418 H Vanderbilt 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.47
419 H Vanderbilt 6-13 -7 -1 --- -6.47
421 A Louisville 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.04
424 A South Carolina 9-10 -1 1 -1.69
425 A South Carolina 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.69
426 A South Carolina 9- 5 4 1 + 3.31
501 H Tennessee 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.10
502 H Tennessee 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.10
503 H Tennessee 9-10 -1 0 -0.90
508 A Florida 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.03
509 A Florida 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 5.03
510 A Florida 6- 9 -3 -3 0.03
514 A Houston Christian 4- 2 2 3 -0.65
515 A SE Louisiana 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.29
516 H Arkansas 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.08
519 A Vanderbilt 5- 8 -3 -2 -1.12
529 A Wake Forest 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.03
530 H West Virginia 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.56
530 H West Virginia 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.56
531 H West Virginia 9-11 -2 -2 -0.44
601 A West Virginia 5- 6 -1 -3 1.91
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Butler 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.37 220 H Duke 9-20 -11 2 --- -13.10 304 A SE Louisiana 8-16 -8 0 --- -8.29 317 H Marshall 8-15 -7 3 --- -10.13 407 A Davidson 4- 8 -4 5 --- -9.20 412 A Auburn 0-11 -11 -4 --- -7.37 419 H Vanderbilt 6-13 -7 -1 --- -6.47 301 A Presbyterian 3- 2 1 5 -- -4.34 328 A LSU 0- 7 -7 -2 -- -5.23 329 A LSU 10-17 -7 -2 -- -5.23 405 H Missouri 2- 5 -3 2 -- -5.09 425 A South Carolina 4- 9 -5 1 -- -5.69 515 A SE Louisiana 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.29 319 A Ole Miss 0- 5 -5 -2 - -2.57 403 H Missouri 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.09 421 A Louisville 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.04 516 H Arkansas 12-16 -4 -1 - -3.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A UNC Greensboro 13- 2 11 3 +++ 7.70 308 H The Citadel 13- 5 8 2 +++ 6.35 501 H Tennessee 9- 2 7 0 +++ 7.10 502 H Tennessee 12- 2 10 0 +++ 10.10 214 A UNC Greensboro 11- 3 8 3 ++ 4.70 320 A Ole Miss 3- 1 2 -2 ++ 4.43 324 H Murray State 14- 4 10 5 ++ 5.22 327 A LSU 7- 4 3 -2 ++ 4.77 404 H Missouri 9- 2 7 2 ++ 4.91 411 A Auburn 5- 4 1 -4 ++ 4.63 509 A Florida 4- 2 2 -3 ++ 5.03 303 H Oklahoma State 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.65 307 H The Citadel 12- 7 5 2 + 3.35 313 H Alabama 7- 4 3 0 + 3.49 315 H Alabama 6- 4 2 0 + 2.49 331 H Miami 14-11 3 0 + 2.85 410 H Missouri 5- 0 5 2 + 2.91 417 H Vanderbilt 5- 2 3 -1 + 3.53 426 A South Carolina 9- 5 4 1 + 3.31 508 A Florida 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.03 529 A Wake Forest 6- 5 1 -2 + 3.03 530 H West Virginia 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.56 530 H West Virginia 11- 9 2 -2 + 3.56 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 13- 2 -7.96 10.46 0.68 0.50 11.11
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 11- 3 -7.96 10.46 0.68 0.50 11.11
3 A UNC Greensboro ( 7-14, 91.9) 10- 6 -7.96 10.46 0.68 0.50 11.11
3 A Butler (23-30, 91.9) 6-10 -8.03 10.39 0.68 0.50 -1.83
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 9-20 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.50 -1.52
3 A Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 5- 3 -8.41 10.01 0.68 0.50 10.66
3 A Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 0- 1 -8.41 10.01 0.68 0.50 -1.93
3 H Western Kentuc (28-27, 94.4) 13- 9 -5.55 12.88 -0.68 0.50 12.17
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 3- 1 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.50 11.97
3 H St. John's (35-26, 94.2) 3- 0 -5.75 12.68 -0.68 0.50 11.97
3 A Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 3- 2 -10.00 8.42 0.68 0.50 9.07
3 H Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 10- 8 -2.66 15.77 -0.68 0.50 15.05
3 A SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 8-16 -4.95 13.47 0.68 0.50 -1.07
3 A West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 10- 4 -8.82 9.60 0.68 0.50 10.25
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 12- 7 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.50 12.76
3 H The Citadel (12-14, 94.9) 13- 5 -4.96 13.47 -0.68 0.50 12.76
3 H Ball State ( 4-11, 91.4) 10- 3 -8.52 9.90 -0.68 0.50 9.20
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 7- 4 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.50 14.89
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 8- 7 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.50 14.89
3 H Alabama (42-20, 97.1) 6- 4 -2.82 15.61 -0.68 0.50 14.89
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 8-15 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 0.50 -1.77
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 0- 5 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.50 -0.39
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 1 -2.23 16.20 0.68 0.50 16.83
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 9- 8 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.50 13.71
3 H Murray State ( 9-13, 91.8) 14- 4 -8.09 10.34 -0.68 0.50 9.63
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 7- 4 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.50 16.16
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 0- 7 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.50 -0.55
3 A LSU (31-26, 97.0) 10-17 -2.89 15.53 0.68 0.50 -0.55
3 H Miami (22-13, 96.4) 14-11 -3.46 14.97 -0.68 0.50 14.26
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 4- 5 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.50 -1.51
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 9- 2 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.50 12.32
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 2- 5 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.50 -1.51
3 A Davidson ( 1- 7, 90.0) 4- 8 -9.86 8.57 0.68 0.50 -2.29
3 H Missouri (21-31, 94.5) 5- 0 -5.40 13.03 -0.68 0.50 12.32
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 5- 4 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.50 18.03
3 A Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 0-11 -1.03 17.40 0.68 0.50 -0.09
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 5- 2 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 14.93
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 7- 8 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 -0.86
3 H Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 6-13 -2.78 15.65 -0.68 0.50 -0.86
3 A Louisville (29-27, 96.2) 10-14 -3.70 14.73 0.68 0.50 -0.75
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 9-10 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.50 -1.17
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 4- 9 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.50 -1.17
3 A South Carolina (21-34, 94.6) 9- 5 -5.35 13.08 0.68 0.50 13.72
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 9- 2 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.50 14.50
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 12- 2 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.50 14.50
3 H Tennessee (33-26, 96.7) 9-10 -3.21 15.22 -0.68 0.50 -0.97
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 6- 7 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 -0.24
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 4- 2 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 17.42
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 6- 9 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.50 -0.24
3 A Houston Christ ( 3-12, 92.6) 4- 2 -7.31 11.12 0.68 0.50 11.76
3 A SE Louisiana ( 7- 8, 94.9) 4- 9 -4.95 13.47 0.68 0.50 -1.07
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 12-16 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.50 -0.76
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 5- 8 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.50 -0.52
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 6- 5 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.50 16.42
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 11- 9 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.50 15.96
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 11- 9 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.50 15.96
3 H West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 9-11 -1.75 16.68 -0.68 0.50 -0.60
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 5- 6 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.50 -0.27
------
417.78
|
winning pts = 442.2770 losing points = -24.4961
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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